Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Take on Fantasy Football Sabermetrics

The worst decision you can make playing fantasy football is watching the games..   Eyes tell you that Jerry Porter was supposed to be the next TO, advanced statistics told you he was the next OT.. Forget that he looked good on the field, the fact that he never actually put up any stats is what counted..   

take that a step further and your record might show you that you are 4-1 but when you are putting up 66 points and beating a team that basically forgot to start a tight end, you might not be as good as you think.   Then again, who cares how you win as long as you do... but to have sustained success you can't remain lucky, you need something else, and that is different for everybody..

But I have to say that the less football I've watched, the better at Fantasy Football I've gotten because at the end of the day, I'm no better at deciding whether a WR runs a clean route or gets a good release as a chimp might.   What I've decided to do a few years ago is pour meticulously over the stats, game scripts, targets, trends, quarterback situations, defenses played etc.  Basically I decided to take only the tangible statistics to mean anything and took all the intangibles to mean nothing.    You might miss on a few guys but honestly in the long run you'll hit more by not letting your eyes trick you into seeing something that is or isn't there..

2 comments:

Zed said...

This is a cheap shot.

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