Sunday, November 1, 2020

Take on the ultimate hedge

Nobody was more embarrassed by their lack of foresight in 2016 than the main stream media
And this time every major news outlet has put our articles showing Trump's path to victory, nobody is willing to go out on a limb and say Biden is winning this and Nate Silver out the the biggest hedge in his career

Silver wants to make it abundantly clear that he doesn't have this election won. We all know how 2016 ended and nobody was more ridiculed than Silver for his 10% chance Trump can win thing. Obviously we are all allowed mistakes and his 19% thing was not a mistake as much as it proved that 10%<> 0% but it can't have done much for his ego

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