Sunday, February 27, 2022

Take on the Monday after

The Ukrainian people have fought tooth and nail and so far have been able to mostly rebuff the Russian invasion. Their valor, their bravery, their willingness to fight for their country has been awe inspiring and although the news reports are generally positive, they haven't been left unscathed and I'm afraid the real fight is yet to come. Russia's army hasn't seemed as impressive as advertised but we have a long way to go and tomorrow there will apparently be some talks. What Ukrainians will be willing to concede is interesting but what Putin will concede is really what we are all watching. I'm guessing the entire thing will hinge on Ukrainian promising to not continue their application for NATO membership in exchange for retaining all their lands. I'm not sure who comes out looking like the winner there but Putin can easily spin that in his own favor. It also seems like Mother Russia will have paid no price for this conflict other than some temporary financial pains. We need more than that.

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