Take on Prigozhin

With Wagner marching upon Moscow, it seemed for a hot second that Prigozhin was going to do what Napoleon or Hitler couldn't do, defeat Russia on its own soil. But as fast as this insurrection started, it was over with the troops falling back about 200km from Moscow and then surrendering without firing a weapon with Prigozhin agreeing to become a window washer in Belarus. I know nothing about geopolitics but will tell you that the chances of this dude surviving through the end of summer under Lukashenko's thumb is less than 5%.